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Creators/Authors contains: "Krusic, Paul"

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  1. As blue intensity (BI) methods are increasingly employed to generate temperature-sensitive tree-ring records around the globe, the influence of intra-site variation in elevation on climate-growth relationships for BI parameters remains largely unresolved. Here, we develop six latewood blue intensity (LWBI) chronologies along an elevational gradient for two montane conifer species, Abies concolor var. concolor (Gordon & Glend.) Lindl. Ex Hilderb and Picea engelmannii Parry ex Engelm., growing in the arid southwestern United States. In this first documented study to examine the climate response of LWBI from A. concolor, we find positive, significant (p < 0.05) correlations between the LWBI chronology from the highest elevation plot and spring–summer temperatures (April–August, r > 0.46). Moreover, the positive temperature response of A. concolor is generally stronger and more temporally stable than for P. engelmannii across varying seasonal windows. In comparing the differences in climate response across species and elevation, we document distinct clinal relationships between the temperature response of LWBI for A. concolor, where both the strength and temporal stability of the positive temperature signal increases with elevation. Meanwhile, the mid-elevation P. engelmannii demonstrate the highest climate sensitivity. As such, our findings contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of how elevation influences the type and strength of the climatic information embedded within the LWBI parameter from arid, montane conifers growing near their historical range margins. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available August 1, 2026
  2. Abstract. We evaluate a range of blue intensity (BI) tree-ringparameters in eight conifer species (12 sites) from Tasmania and New Zealandfor their dendroclimatic potential, and as surrogate wood anatomicalproxies. Using a dataset of ca. 10–15 trees per site, we measured earlywoodmaximum blue intensity (EWB), latewood minimum blue intensity (LWB), and theassociated delta blue intensity (DB) parameter for dendrochronologicalanalysis. No resin extraction was performed, impacting low-frequency trends.Therefore, we focused only on the high-frequency signal by detrending alltree-ring and climate data using a 20-year cubic smoothing spline. All BIparameters express low relative variance and weak signal strength comparedto ring width. Correlation analysis and principal component regressionexperiments identified a weak and variable climate response for mostring-width chronologies. However, for most sites, the EWB data, despite weaksignal strength, expressed strong coherence with summer temperatures.Significant correlations for LWB were also noted, but the sign of therelationship for most species is opposite to that reported for all coniferspecies in the Northern Hemisphere. DB results were mixed but performedbetter for the Tasmanian sites when combined through principal componentregression methods than for New Zealand. Using the fullmulti-species/parameter network, excellent summer temperature calibrationwas identified for both Tasmania and New Zealand ranging from 52 % to78 % explained variance for split periods (1901–1950/1951–1995), withequally robust independent validation (coefficient of efficiency = 0.41 to0.77). Comparison of the Tasmanian BI reconstruction with a quantitativewood anatomical (QWA) reconstruction shows that these parameters recordessentially the same strong high-frequency summer temperature signal.Despite these excellent results, a substantial challenge exists with thecapture of potential secular-scale climate trends. Although DB, band-pass,and other signal processing methods may help with this issue, substantiallymore experimentation is needed in conjunction with comparative analysis withring density and QWA measurements. 
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  3. null (Ed.)
    Abstract Tree-ring chronologies underpin the majority of annually-resolved reconstructions of Common Era climate. However, they are derived using different datasets and techniques, the ramifications of which have hitherto been little explored. Here, we report the results of a double-blind experiment that yielded 15 Northern Hemisphere summer temperature reconstructions from a common network of regional tree-ring width datasets. Taken together as an ensemble, the Common Era reconstruction mean correlates with instrumental temperatures from 1794–2016 CE at 0.79 ( p  < 0.001), reveals summer cooling in the years following large volcanic eruptions, and exhibits strong warming since the 1980s. Differing in their mean, variance, amplitude, sensitivity, and persistence, the ensemble members demonstrate the influence of subjectivity in the reconstruction process. We therefore recommend the routine use of ensemble reconstruction approaches to provide a more consensual picture of past climate variability. 
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